Everything about Hypothesis totally explained
A
hypothesis (from
Greek ὑπόθεσις) consists either of a suggested explanation for a
phenomenon or of a reasoned proposal suggesting a possible correlation between multiple phenomena. The term derives from the
Greek,
hypotithenai meaning "to put under" or "to suppose." The
scientific method requires that one can
test a
scientific hypothesis. Scientists generally base such hypotheses on previous
observations or on extensions of
scientific theories. Even though the words "hypothesis" and "theory" are often used synonymously in common and informal usage, a scientific
hypothesis isn't the same as a scientific
theory.
In early usage, scholars often referred to a clever idea or to a convenient mathematical approach that simplified cumbersome
calculations as a
hypothesis; when used this way, the word didn't necessarily have any specific meaning.
Cardinal Bellarmine gave a famous example of the older sense of the word in the warning issued to
Galileo in the early 17th century: that he must not treat the motion of the
Earth as a reality, but merely as a hypothesis.
In common usage in the 21st century, a
hypothesis refers to a provisional idea whose merit requires evaluation. For proper evaluation, the framer of a hypothesis needs to define specifics in operational terms. A hypothesis requires more work by the researcher in order to either confirm or disprove it. In due course, a confirmed hypothesis may become part of a theory or occasionally may grow to become a theory itself. Normally, scientific hypotheses have the form of a
mathematical model. Sometimes, but not always, one can also formulate them as
existential statements, stating that some particular instance of the phenomenon under examination has some characteristic and causal explanations, which have the general form of
universal statements, stating that every instance of the phenomenon has a particular characteristic.
Any useful hypothesis will enable
predictions by
reasoning (including
deductive reasoning). It might predict the outcome of an
experiment in a
laboratory setting or the observation of a phenomenon in
nature. The prediction may also invoke statistics and only talk about probabilities.
Karl Popper, following others, has argued that a hypothesis must be
falsifiable, and that one can't regard a proposition or theory as scientific if it doesn't admit the possibility of being shown false. To meet this additional criterion, it must at least in principle be possible to make an observation that would disprove the proposition as false, even if one hasn't actually (yet) made that observation. A falsifiable hypothesis can greatly simplify the process of testing to determine whether the hypothesis has instances in which it's false. The
scientific method involves experimentation on the basis of falsifiable hypotheses in order to answer questions and explore observations.
In framing a hypothesis, the investigator must not currently know the outcome of a potentially falsifying test or that it remains reasonably under continuing investigation. Only in such cases does the experiment, test or study potentially increase the probability of showing the truth of a hypothesis. If the researcher already knows the outcome, it counts as a "consequence" — and the researcher should have already considered this while formulating the hypothesis. If one can't assess the predictions by observation or by
experience, the hypothesis classes as not yet useful, and must wait for others who might come afterward to make possible the needed observations. For example, a new technology or theory might make the necessary experiments feasible.
In the
United States of America, teachers of science in primary schools have often simplified the meaning of the term "hypothesis" by describing a hypothesis as "an educated guess". Overemphasizing this aspect fails to convey the explanatory or predictive quality of scientific hypotheses. To define a hypothesis as "an educated guess" resembles describing a tricycle as a "vehicle with three". The definition omits the concept's most important and characteristic feature: the purpose of hypotheses. People generate hypotheses as early attempts to explain patterns observed in nature or to predict the outcomes of experiments. For example, in science, one could correctly call the following statement a hypothesis: identical twins can have different personalities because the environment influences personality. In contrast, although one might have informed one's self about the qualifications of various political candidates, making an educated guess about the outcome of an election wouldn't qualify as a scientific hypothesis: the guess lacks an underpinning generic explanation.
Evaluating hypotheses
The
hypothetico-deductive method (also known as the method of "
conjectures and refutations", cf Karl Popper) demands
falsifiable hypotheses, framed in such a manner that the scientific community can prove them false (usually by
observation). Strictly speaking, a hypothesis can't be "confirmed", because there's always the possibility that a future experiment will show that it's false. Hence, failing to falsify a hypothesis doesn't prove that hypothesis: it remains provisional. However, a hypothesis that has been rigorously tested and not falsified can form a reasonable basis for action, for example, we can act as if it's true, until such time as it's falsified.
For example: someone who enters a new country and observes only white sheep might form the hypothesis that all sheep in that country are white. It can be considered a hypothesis, as it's falsifiable. Anyone could falsify the hypothesis by observing several black sheep. Provided that the experimental uncertainties remain small (for example, provided that one can fairly reliably distinguish the observed black sheep from (say) a goat), and provided that the experimenter has correctly interpreted the statement of the hypothesis (for example, does the meaning of "sheep" include rams?), finding a black sheep falsifies the "white sheep only" hypothesis. However, one can't consider failure to find black sheep as
proof that no black sheep exist.
Scientific hypothesis
People refer to a trial solution to a problem as a hypothesis — often called an "educated guess" — because it provides a suggested solution based on the evidence. Experimenters may test and reject several hypotheses before solving the problem.
According to Schick and Vaughn,
researchers weighing up alternative hypotheses may take into consideration:
- Testability (compare falsifiability as discussed above)
- Simplicity (as in the application of "Occam's Razor", discouraging the postulation of excessive numbers of entities)
- Scope - the apparent application of the hypothesis to multiple cases of phenomena
- Fruitfulness - the prospect that a hypothesis may explain further phenomena in the future
- Conservatism - the degree of "fit" with existing recognized knowledge-systems
Hypothesis
The hypothesis is a statement. It is a prediction or proposed solution to a problem based on prior knowledge or information gathered. It is an 'educated guess' about the outcome of the experiment. A hypothesis must be able to be tested. A hypothesis is also refering to one, hypotheses referes to many. here are some examples of HYPOTHESIS.
Caffeine causes an increase in urine production.
Aquatic plants produce more oxygen in warmer water than in cold water.Further Information
Get more info on 'Hypothesis'.
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